Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IK brage · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orebro SK are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while IK brage are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IK brage hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (37.6 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Superettan, while IK brage holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IK brage
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80