Orebro SKvs
IFK Varnamo
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 8/3/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orebro SK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IFK Varnamo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 37.6 against 36.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Superettan, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.4%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20