Ordabasyvs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 7/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ordabasy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
15.5%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80