Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Ordabasy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ulytau are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20