Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ordabasy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Shkendija are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 74.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20