Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Ordabasy are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20