Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Ordabasy are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Irtysh are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 32.3-point power-rating edge (73.6 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.9% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 21 · GA 7 · avg 4.20/1.40