Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordabasy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ordabasy are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alashkert are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ordabasy
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00