Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tuna Luso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oratório are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tuna Luso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuna Luso hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (21.7 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Serie D, while Tuna Luso holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tuna Luso
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Tuna Luso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40