Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Oratório are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Trem are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Trem hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (21.7 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Serie D, while Trem holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trem
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
9.8%
Trem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00