Orange County SCvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Orange County SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
11.6%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00