GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orange County SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCWWLWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LexingtonLDLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Orange County SCLexington
51.7Attack49.1
58.3Defence59.6
56.7Form49.1
57.8Power53.2
1.36xG1.10
View match centre →