Orange County SCvs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orange County SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20