Orange County SCvs
Las Vegas Lights
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Orange County SC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Orange County SC
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60