GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orange County SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 31.1-point power-rating edge (20.8 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the USL League One Cup, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Paso Locomotive

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCDWWLW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
El Paso LocomotiveLWWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Orange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
25.0Attack41.7
25.0Defence58.3
0.0Form50.0
20.8Power51.8
1.07xG1.65
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