GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Orange County SC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Orange County SCWLDDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
El Paso LocomotiveWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Orange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
50.9Attack50.9
61.4Defence52.6
59.6Form49.1
59.6Power52.0
1.58xG1.05
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