GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Berlin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Optik Rathenow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Berlin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Berlin hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (33.9 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Union Berlin holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Berlin

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

8.4%

Union Berlin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Optik RathenowLDDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Union BerlinWWDLL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Optik RathenowUnion Berlin
33.3Attack81.0
20.0Defence42.9
40.0Form66.7
33.9Power63.0
1.48xG2.94
View match centre →