Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elverum · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Oppsal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Elverum are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Elverum hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.7% in the 3. Division - Girone 6, while Elverum holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elverum
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
7.7%
Elverum has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40