GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Operario Ferroviario are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ivinhema are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ivinhema hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Operario FerroviarioLLLDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IvinhemaDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Operario FerroviarioIvinhema
30.0Attack33.3
60.0Defence52.4
30.0Form40.5
41.8Power44.2
0.91xG0.74
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