GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Operario Ferroviario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ipatinga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipatinga hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Operario FerroviarioDWLWD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
IpatingaLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Operario FerroviarioIpatinga
30.0Attack35.7
60.0Defence66.7
30.0Form50.0
41.8Power52.1
0.62xG0.81
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