GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Operario Ferroviario are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while ABECAT Ouvidorense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and ABECAT Ouvidorense hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Operario FerroviarioDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseLLDDW

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Operario FerroviarioABECAT Ouvidorense
30.0Attack26.7
60.0Defence70.0
30.0Form40.0
41.8Power47.9
0.57xG0.59
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