Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Opava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Karviná are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Karviná hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the FNL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60