Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jonsered · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Onsala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jonsered are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jonsered hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Jonsered holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jonsered
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Jonsered has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80