Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Onsala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Onsala are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Astrio are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Onsala hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 22.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.5% in the Division 2 - Västra Götaland, while Onsala holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Onsala
Probability
73.5%
Model confidence
73.5%
Onsala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60