One Knoxvillevs
Union Omaha
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00