GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/8/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseDWLDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
One KnoxvilleSarasota Paradise
57.9Attack31.6
63.2Defence47.4
63.2Form31.6
62.6Power39.4
2.11xG0.60
View match centre →