One Knoxvillevs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
One Knoxville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60