One Knoxvillevs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/29/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
One Knoxville are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
68.9%
Model confidence
68.9%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00