GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/15/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Fort WayneLWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
One KnoxvilleFort Wayne
57.9Attack43.9
63.2Defence61.4
63.2Form47.4
62.6Power51.6
1.49xG0.86
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