GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

One Knoxville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

One KnoxvilleDWWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Charlotte IndependenceLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
One KnoxvilleCharlotte Independence
57.9Attack75.4
63.2Defence52.6
63.2Form68.4
62.6Power65.9
1.75xG1.54
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