One Knoxvillevs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
One Knoxville · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
One Knoxville are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Alta are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (61.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
One Knoxville
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20