GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/1/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Once Caldas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jaguares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

69.2%

Model confidence

69.2%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasDDWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
JaguaresLWDWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Once CaldasJaguares
54.7Attack30.4
60.0Defence42.0
52.0Form27.5
56.7Power35.9
2.16xG0.63
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