Once CaldasvsAlianza Petrolera

Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Valledupar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.