Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weszlo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Łomża are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Weszlo are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Weszlo hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Weszlo holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weszlo
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Weszlo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00