GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and moreton City Excelsior hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely result in the Queensland NPL, favouring Moreton City Excelsior with 6.9% confidence, a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

6.9%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

OlympicWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlympicMoreton City Excelsior
60.3Attack81.0
34.9Defence47.6
41.3Form61.9
46.4Power62.2
1.98xG3.10
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