Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olympic are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AFC Malmo are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympic hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Ettan - Södra, while Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olympic
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
13.3%
Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/3.50