GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NEC Nijmegen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Olympiakos Piraeus are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NEC Nijmegen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and NEC Nijmegen hold a 28.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the UEFA Champions League, while NEC Nijmegen holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NEC Nijmegen

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

35.7%

NEC Nijmegen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympiakos PiraeusLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NEC NijmegenLLWWL

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Olympiakos PiraeusNEC Nijmegen
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power64.8
1.21xG1.31
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