GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/1/2026, 10:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-3

Highconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsWLWLW

GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaWWWWL

GF 23 · GA 5 · avg 4.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsTaroona
92.2Attack100.0
45.1Defence51.0
64.7Form58.8
65.3Power63.0
3.18xG3.11
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