GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olympia Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hobart City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Olympia Warriors hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (66.6 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Olympia Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olympia Warriors

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

6.3%

Olympia Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Olympia WarriorsWWLWD

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityDWWWD

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsHobart City
95.8Attack88.9
43.8Defence40.0
66.7Form57.8
66.6Power61.1
4.08xG2.92
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