Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OLS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
9%
LowconfidenceOLS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TPV are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and oLS hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Ykkönen, favouring OLS with 8.8% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OLS
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
8.8%
OLS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OLSWDLLD
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TPVWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
OLSTPV
66.7Attack50.0
51.9Defence33.3
53.7Form35.2
57.3Power41.1
3.06xG1.29