Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
OLS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rops are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
9.0%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00