Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olot · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olot are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Girona are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Girona hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Olot holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olot
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Olot has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00