Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnastic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olot are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimnastic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnastic hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gimnastic holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gimnastic
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Gimnastic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40