Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olot are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Espanyol are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Espanyol hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (24.3 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Espanyol holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Espanyol
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20