Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olmaliq are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nasaf are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 56.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80