Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olmaliq are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 54.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60