Olimpija Ljubljanavs
Maribor
COMPLETEDSlovenia · 1. SNL · 8/15/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maribor · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olimpija Ljubljana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Maribor are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maribor hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the 1. SNL, while Maribor holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maribor
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
13.6%
Maribor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00