Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Olimpia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rubio NU are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (41.5 v 17.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Division Profesional - Clausura, while Olimpia holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
13.0%
Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00