Olimpia Elblągvs
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Elbląg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Olimpia Elbląg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Polonia Lidzbark Warm. hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Olimpia Elbląg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Elbląg
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
11.7%
Olimpia Elbląg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20