Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oldham are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bolton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolton hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bolton holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20