OlariavsDuque de Caxias

Olaria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Duque de Caxias are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Olaria hold a 57.8-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 8.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Copa Rio, while Olaria holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.